Could USMCA changes raise my tariffs?

Yes. Stricter rules of origin or reduced coverage could move goods from duty-free preferential treatment onto MFN or Section 301 rates. The impact depends on your specific HTS codes and regional content.

TARIFF TRANSITION GUIDE

Will USMCA Renegotiation Change My Tariffs? (Talks Resume July 20, 2026)

Q: When do USMCA renegotiation talks resume?

USMCA renegotiation talks resume July 20, 2026.

Short answer: It could. USMCA renegotiation talks resume July 20, 2026 (autobodynews, 7/15), and the areas most likely to move importers' costs are rules of origin and any tariff treatment tied to regional content thresholds. If your goods qualify for USMCA preferential treatment today, a stricter rule of origin could raise your effective duty; a change in coverage could shift you onto MFN or Section 301 rates.

Why importers of Canada/Mexico goods should care

USMCA preferential treatment can be the difference between duty-free and a stacked tariff. The renegotiation is happening at the same time the Section 122 tariff expires (7/24) and the Section 301 replacement (10–12.5%, no expiry) comes online — so a single product's landed cost could be affected by two moving regimes at once.

What to watch

Rules of origin — regional value content thresholds, especially in autos/parts.
Coverage carve-outs — sectors moved in or out of preferential treatment.
Effective dates — when any change actually binds your entries.

What to do

Map which of your HTS codes currently claim USMCA preference, and monitor the talks for changes to those specific rules — general headlines won't tell you whether your code moved.

Tariff Watch monitors the USMCA renegotiation against your HTS codes and re-runs your landed cost if a rule that touches your goods changes. $199/mo.

Start Tariff Watch

Sources: autobodynews.com (7/15). As of 2026-07-16.